Solar activity has risen to a high level due to X-class solar flares observed on the Sun’s surface.

According to the Department of Astrophysics at the Faculty of Physics of Baku State University (BSU), as a result of an asymmetric coronal mass ejection (CME) during an X5-class flare that occurred on November 9–10, a plasma cloud is expected to approach Earth on November 12.

At present, solar activity is at the R1–R2 (weak to moderate) level. From midday on November 12 until November 13, it is forecast to reach the R3 (strong) level, with activity gradually subsiding after midday on November 13.

At high latitudes, the intensity of the geomagnetic storm on November 12 is expected to range between 4 and 8 on a 10-point scale, decreasing to 3–5 on November 13. At mid-latitudes, including Azerbaijan, the storm intensity on November 12 will range between 4 and 7, returning to background levels in the following days.

As a result of the coronal mass ejection on November 9–10, a G2–G4 (moderate to strong) geomagnetic storm is forecast for November 12 at high latitudes, intensifying to G3–G4 levels by midday. On November 13, the storm is expected to remain at G1–G3 levels before declining by November 14.